Market: 🏝️🦕 You visit an island inhabited by one hundred green-eyed dragons...

You visit a remote desert island inhabited by one hundred very friendly dragons, all of whom have green eyes. They haven't seen a human for many centuries and are very excited about your visit. They show you around their island and tell you all about their dragon way of life (dragons can talk, of course). They seem to be quite normal, as far as dragons go, but then you find out something rather odd. They have a rule on the island which states that if a dragon ever finds out that he/she has green eyes, then at precisely midnight on the day of this discovery, he/she must relinquish all dragon powers and transform into a long-tailed sparrow. However, there are no mirrors on the island, and they never talk about eye color, so the dragons have been living in blissful ignorance throughout the ages. Upon your departure, all the dragons get together to see you off, and in a tearful farewell you thank them for being such hospitable dragons. Then you decide to tell them something that they all already know (for each can see the colors of the eyes of the other dragons). You tell them all that at least one of them has green eyes. Then you leave, not thinking of the consequences (if any). Assuming that the dragons are (of course) infallibly logical, what happens? ... Do all 100 dragons turn into sparrows on the 100th midnight? 👁️🐦

Predictions.Global  |  Reporters.Chat

Creator 0xc64e96319366da7d00ef4bc14b42e8b1f3a31f52
Total Fee Rate 2.95%
Volume 481.67 ETH
Open Interest 9.14 ETH
End Time Sat May 18 2019 00:00:00
State Finalized

Tentative Payouts Per Share

Outcome Payout
No0.5
Yes0.5

Orderbook

PriceAmountCreator
Lowest Ask0.622.560xf09c6c...
Highest Bid0.4650xc64e96...

Recent trades (Show All)

Trade TimeOutcomeFiller OrderPriceAmountOrder CreatorFiller
Fri Jun 14 2019 12:41:17Yesbuy0.620.30xf09c6c...0xae49bb...
Tue May 14 2019 13:22:06Yesbuy0.620.140xf09c6c...0xdc603f...
Tue May 14 2019 04:28:21Yessell0.4650xf09c6c...0x5a47dc...
Tue May 14 2019 04:28:21Yessell0.4610.50x437adc...0x5a47dc...
Mon May 13 2019 19:46:30Yessell0.62370xf09c6c...0xc64e96...
Sun May 12 2019 15:55:54Yesbuy0.6850.20xce98b7...0x2661ae...
Sat May 11 2019 22:01:22Yessell0.6430xf09c6c...0xce98b7...
Sat May 11 2019 13:29:30Yesbuy0.7910xc64e96...0xbfbb69...
Sat May 11 2019 13:29:30Yesbuy0.720.50xc64e96...0xbfbb69...
Sat May 11 2019 13:25:17Yessell0.6210xc64e96...0xbfbb69...
Sat May 11 2019 01:34:38Yesbuy0.72400xf09c6c...0xc64e96...

Top Shareholders

Owner Outcome Balance
0xf09c6c..Yes5
0xc64e96..Yes2.5
0x437adc..Yes0.5
0xf09c6c..No0.44
0xae49bb..Yes0.3
0x2661ae..Yes0.2
0xdc603f..Yes0.14